Crisis could claim third of big global banks — McKinsey

Wednesday, October 23, 2019

Print this page Email A Friend!


PARIS, France (AFP) — US consulting firm McKinsey said Monday that a third of big global banks may not survive a major financial shock, with those in western Europe and Asia most at risk.

The study by McKinsey looked at 1,000 banks in developed and emerging countries and found that just over a third of them had made a return on capital of just 1.6 per cent over the past three years.

This compares to returns of just over 17 per cent for top banks over the same period.

“Nearly 35 per cent of banks globally are both sub-scale and suffer from operating in unfavourable markets,” as well as having flawed business models, said McKinsey.

“To survive a downturn, merging with similar banks may be the only option if a full reinvention is not feasible,” it said.

McKinsey sees the issue as urgent as global growth stutters.

“While the jury is still out on whether the current market uncertainty will result in an imminent recession or a prolonged period of slow growth, the fact is that growth has slowed,” it said.

“This is likely the last pit stop in this cycle for banks to rapidly reinvent business models and scale up” via acquisitions, it added.

“The time for bold and critical moves is now.”

While the concerns about the global expansion running out of steam have been around for years, McKinsey said banks are not as well-prepared for a downturn as they were when the global financial crisis erupted in 2007 in terms of profitability.

The ultra-low and even negative interest rates that have prevailed in recent years, as leading central banks have tried to ward off deflation and boost growth, have made it difficult for commercial banks to earn money from traditional lending.

To compensate for low rates, certain banks have increased the volume of their lending — a strategy that could put them in danger in the case of an economic downturn.


Now you can read the Jamaica Observer ePaper anytime, anywhere. The Jamaica Observer ePaper is available to you at home or at work, and is the same edition as the printed copy available at http://bit.ly/epaperlive


ADVERTISEMENT




POST A COMMENT

HOUSE RULES

1. We welcome reader comments on the top stories of the day. Some comments may be republished on the website or in the newspaper � email addresses will not be published.

2. Please understand that comments are moderated and it is not always possible to publish all that have been submitted. We will, however, try to publish comments that are representative of all received.

3. We ask that comments are civil and free of libellous or hateful material. Also please stick to the topic under discussion.

4. Please do not write in block capitals since this makes your comment hard to read.

5. Please don't use the comments to advertise. However, our advertising department can be more than accommodating if emailed: advertising@jamaicaobserver.com.

6. If readers wish to report offensive comments, suggest a correction or share a story then please email: community@jamaicaobserver.com.

7. Lastly, read our Terms and Conditions and Privacy Policy



comments powered by Disqus
ADVERTISEMENT

Poll

ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT

Today's Cartoon

Click image to view full size editorial cartoon
ADVERTISEMENT