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Columns
Why the JLP lost the 2011 election
Chris Burns
Monday, January 16, 2012
THE Jamaica Labour Party (JLP) lost the December 29 General Election because it became so inebriated by its rabid fascination with the "youth factor" that it failed to demolish the everlasting wall of political inseparability it diligently constructed prior.
And, isn't it criminally ironic that having spent the last two years dismantling the politics of separability (all this while Emperor Eloquent represented a huge liability) the JLP suddenly woke up to the foolishness of its ways?
In fact, the party was so wedded to the Emperor that JLP MPs, including Andrew Holness, sat in Parliament and with heads uncovered, rejected a reasonable motion of censure brought against the Emperor. And as if that were not disgraceful enough, the JLP's Central Executive refused his offer to resign and later joined JLP senators in a vulgar expression of support for his handling of the Dudus-Manatt affair.
And while the G2K erred during the election, the JLP's Politburo was deafeningly silent in disapproving G2K's behaviour. Therefore, as long knives are drawn let them not be aimed solely at Delano Seiveright, but let the sharpest blades be inward-bound so the entire leadership of the JLP can fall perfectly thereon.
To begin with, no political party can overcome the politics of inseparability if it chooses to replace one toxic political element with an alloy that appears unable and, at times, inexplicably unwilling to fend off the gravitational pull of the contaminated source. Simply put, it is politically suicidal to have a highly charged radioactive political conductor in the same vicinity with, or proximate to, a feeble absorptive resource.
After all, "One bad apple can spoil a whole bunch". Holness should have positioned himself and campaigned, internally and externally, as his own man and not in the shadows of his political uncle.
This separability was fundamental, given that credibility and believability were central themes in the elections. So when Mr Holness said things that voters found incredible, or when he acted similar to how Emperor Eloquent would have acted, it not only drove up his personal negatives, it also pulled down the party's positives. Ultimately, it robbed the party of the opportunity to stay on message.
So the JLP lost the election the minute Mr "Young and Different" metamorphosed into the persona of Emperor Eloquent, a character which voters had long rejected and decided to thrust aside. Furthermore, the metamorphosis ran counterintuitively to the overarching strategy to position Holness as the Fresh Prince.
Obviously, the JLP opted for a leader-centric approach, but did so without understanding either the symbiotic or the cause and effect relationship between the party and the leader, or how "leader-negatives" would inexorably increase the party's unelectability.
Consequently, the decision to pursue an election strategy that was less people-focused and more organisation and leader-centric was an unmitigated disaster. The strategy was predicated on assumptions that were illogical and insensitive; both of which were antithetical to the wishes, expectations and desires of voters, who kept looking to the JLP to put them front and centre of its programmes. Yet, strangely enough, as the JLP strategised on ways to mitigate the Dudus-Manatt curse and to exorcise the ghosts of mendacity, the electorate, having seen too many empty tombs, was unconvinced by the attempts to save face. To them, the "horse had already bolted".
The party should have known that voters will feign acceptance of political strategies, but know when falsehood is being foisted upon them and how to flex their muscles against deception. So while politicians think cunningness is always a political masterstroke, "hell-pop" when voters disagree.
The JLP's loss can be attributed to several flaws in its political algorithm; there were too many weak links in its chain. The JLP started out by assuming the position of the drowning man and so, the party was constantly clutching after straws; although there were no straws to clutch. This strategy exposed the holes in the JLP's bucket as the campaign became more reactive and less proactive.
The JLP's loss was also a function of its own looseness in messaging, in collaboration, in co-ordination and discipline, in capacity-building, in organisation, and in leadership. There were too many chiefs and too few Indians.
There were moments on the campaign trail when Karl Samuda's frustration became so evident that any political neophyte could detect it. In the final analysis, though, the JLP grossly miscalculated the supremacy and resilience of the PNP's election machinery, secretariat, campaign team, enumeration advantage and broad-based acceptance of Portia.
Burnscg@aol.com
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1/17/2012
The people who set the booby traps (milwood settlement,jps,etc) let them disarm them.
1/17/2012
Chris, dem seh yuh ah showhaff pon dem! A few yrs ago, I called out Mark Wignall for the same offence of which you’ve been accused. And today, he tailors his work so that the man in the streets could develop an appetite for same... No disrespect Lieutenant, because you have established very firm grips on your pen, & your work is embraced by many, but sometimes yuh overcook di ting, boss! Except for research work, an author shouldn't force his audience to consult Wikipedia after every paragraph.
1/17/2012
Mr. Burns, do not let these JLP "cry-babies" upset your brilliant contribution to our political discourse. Your excellent work speaks for itself and you should not compromise your high standards because of these silly and shallow attacks. You, bring a breath of fresh air to the public square. It is VERY sad that these few commentators can only criticize your extensive vocabulory. It may be that they need to go back to school to learn new and exciting words. They should submit to learning period
1/16/2012
@SFox, what are you talking about? There is a difference between 'is' and 'ought'. The JLP ought to have governed like they had a razor thin majority. They did not. Name one thing they wanted to do but was prevented by the PNP? You can't find a more perfect example than what happened with JDIP to show how the JLP just went on their merry way, totally ignoring the Opposition. You should ask yourself: The JLP did this with JDIP despite sustained opposition, what if there were none?
1/16/2012
Nejeeper KNG. Why are you so obsessed with “Garrison”? It certainly didn’t play any role in the JLP devastating lost in the recently concluded general election.
1/16/2012
All the spin doctors have analyzed why the JLP lost but they forgot the intelligence of the voters and that we are not robots but can make decisions for ourselves. It wasn't PJ or KD Knight campaigning for the PNP, neither was it the Dudus affair because some of us had gotten over that. As for PJ he's no master at winning elections. Anyone would have beaten Seaga because he was rejected by the voters. So we can think for ourselves so bear that in mind next time.
1/16/2012
Given the title of this article, if one was looking to get a well reasoned analysis of the JLP’s election lost, then after reading, one would be no better informed. If fact, this article can be summed up as a piece of intellectual mumbo jumbo. The article lacks depth, focal point and critical analysis. In the end, it only serves to show the writer’s fascination with his vocabulary. As a result of this writer’s penchant for using big words to show off his ability to using the dictionary, this article comes off more as a piece of intellectual noise which highlights the holes in this writer’s bucket.
1/16/2012
Some of our readers should stop chastising The Observer for being biased. If they were biased, then they would not have allowed this column to be published. Chris Burns is undoubtedly a mouthpiece and this article clearly demonstrates this fact. His so called analysis of the JLP’s loss, over 2 weeks after the election, is not only a bit late but like many others before missed out on the real reasons for the loss. He needs to go do the research.
1/16/2012
@Stephen Fox, what cleaner slate of candidates are you talking about, explain the term "cleaner slate" to me and then i will get to the meat of the matter with you
1/16/2012
I agree with most of the content of the author's points. But I agree with Stephen in many ways, not the least of which is how exhausting it is to read such a lengthy column inundated with metaphorical satire.
1/16/2012
Hey Chris if you were a journalist I would be concerned with your bias and extended celebration of your party winning the election however you have displayed every week that you are an opinionated pundit. Your lack of maturity (naa na na naaa na) is obvious. I wish your party the best for the sake of JA; not all of us are sorry losers. Can you write a piece on “the garrison effects”? Just remember writing that lacks objectivity discredits the want to be writer.
1/16/2012
If you had any balance in your thinking you would be calling for constitutional changes. Use the intelligence evidenced by your vocabulary to advocate for a fair and balanced political system. Your high minded vitriol is tiresome.
1/16/2012
What a highfalutin cuss job. The JLP had a razor thin majority. They were compromised from the beginning by seemingly illegitimate representatives in parliament. The PNP opposed at every turn. Andrew Holness and the JLP parliamentarians had little room to maneuver without losing their majority. In order to clean house an election had to be called. Give the honest JLP members some credit for the bravery required to face the electorate with a cleaner slate of candidates. Get a little respect!
1/16/2012
I am not sure why these comrade leaning columnist are still focussing on why JLP lost the election? I know you must be elated but please move on. Focus on the PNP and its bloated cabinet.
1/16/2012
AH still haven't come to grips to what was hitting him election night,i got a feeling he is going to retire as opposition leader for life,not even some own his own followers were impress with him on his campaign speeches,it got so bad 1 man lost his life in Mandeville.AH is now preparing himself to fill the senate with the losers in order to make them opposition spoke persons.The moment he mention he would follow BG policy i knew it was a matter of how far the PNP would have won by.
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