German politics upended as Merkel's heir apparent quits

German politics upended as Merkel's heir apparent quits

Tuesday, February 11, 2020

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BERLIN (AP) — Chancellor Angela Merkel's heir apparent shook up German politics yesterday by declaring she would step down as the governing party's leader and not run for chancellor. This decision has started fuelling uncertainty in the country seen as Europe's anchor of stability amid Brexit and pressure from the far right.

Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, whose flagging support dropped further after regional Christian Democratic Union lawmakers ignored the party's instructions, told senior CDU members she would not seek the chancellorship in next year's decision. The surprise move upended Merkel's plans to hand Kramp-Karrenbauer the reins of power after more than 15 years as chancellor.

“I took note of this decision with the utmost respect, but I also say that I regret it,” Merkel told reporters, thanking Kramp-Karrenbauer for her work and for agreeing to stay on until a new party leader is chosen. Kramp-Karrenbauer plans to remain in her role as Germany's defence minister.

The announcement followed days of in fighting within the party over the election of a governor in the state of Thuringia. Christian Democratic Union legislators there voted with the far-right Alternative for Germany party (AfD) last week to oust a left wing incumbent.

The CDU representatives not only defied Kramp-Karrenbauer's advance appeals and undermined her leadership, but broke what is widely regarded as a taboo in post-war German politics around cooperating with extremist parties.

“The AfD stands against everything we as the CDU represent,” Kramp-Karrenbauer told reporters yesterday in Berlin.

Manfred Weber, a German member of the European Union Parliament who leads a centre-right bloc in the EU legislature, told daily newspaper Welt that the situation in Thuringia reflected a Europe that “is in a phase of growing instability; politics is becoming more serious”.

“In general, it is a sign of growing instability among the parties of the middle all across Europe. The parties of the middle must draw their red line to those with radical right tendencies,” Weber said. “This approach from Kramp-Karrenbauer was and is correct.”

Merkel has said she will not run for a fifth term in Germany's next general election, which is now scheduled for fall 2021. But any shift to the right by the Christian Democrats could trigger a break-up of Merkel's federal coalition with the centre-left Social Democrats and increase the chances of an early national election.

“If it's up to me, it won't have any effect on the stability of the grand coalition,” Kramp-Karrenbauer said after announcing her planned withdrawal.

Florian Hense, an analyst at Hamburg-based private bank Berenberg, said the Social Democrats “would have little to gain from provoking early elections”.

But leading figures in Merkel's party expressed concerns about fallout from the announcement.

Peter Altmaier, Germany's economy minister and a close Merkel ally, said the Christian Democrats were in “an unusually serious situation”.

Recent polls had Merkel's conservative block at about 28 per cent support nationally, followed by the left-leaning Greens at about 22 per cent. The Social Democrats are struggling with only about 14 per cent support, about the same as the far-right Alternative for Germany.

Among the names currently being bandied around as future CDU party leaders are Health Minister Jens Spahn and Friedrich Merz, who were beaten to the leadership by Kramp-Karrenbauer in 2018. Armin Laschet, the governor of North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany's most populous state, is also being mentioned as a possible contender.

While Spahn and Laschet are considered centrists, Merz has tried to appeal to the conservative wing of the party that has flirted with the far-right Alternative for Germany. A lawyer once tipped to lead the party in the early 2000s, Merz was sidelined by Merkel before she became chancellor in 2005.

Bavarian Governor Markus Soeder, leader of the Christian Social Union, the Bavarian-only sister party to Merkel's CDU, is also the focus of some speculation.

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