Region urged to brace for increased drought, dry spells

Wednesday, January 09, 2019

Print this page Email A Friend!


BRIDGETOWN, Barbados (CMC) — The Barbados-based Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology (CIMH) says chances of drought and recurrent dry spells have increased, except in The Bahamas and Cuba, during the first three months of this year.

CIMH, in its Caribbean Climate Outlooks released here yesterday, said that with an El Nio on forecast, chances of drought and recurrent dry spells during the dry season are increased and that region-wide extreme drought is unlikely.

“Wet days and wet spells are expected to become least frequent by March. Extreme wet spells in the coastal Guianas, though less likely than in other years, remain possible there, leading to concerns of flash flood potential. Temperatures will be seasonably comfortable at least through February, and start rising thereafter,” it said.

According to CIMH, as of December 1 last year, short-term drought in north-western parts of The Bahamas and Cuba, and in southern- and easternmost Hispaniola have been recorded while there have been long-term situations in Cayman, southernmost Hispaniola, eastern Jamaica, and much of the Leeward Islands.

CIMH said that shorter-term drought is evolving in Barbados, Cayman Islands, and coastal Suriname and is possible in many other areas, while there is long-term drought concern in Antigua, northern Bahamas, Cayman Islands, western Cuba, Grenada, eastern Jamaica, and St Kitts, which may possibly develop in many other areas in the Caribbean islands up to the month of March.

In its brief, CIMH notes that April to June marks the transition from the dry to the wet season.

“Dry spells are common, while the chance of heavy rainfall increases steadily. Temperatures will, at times, become uncomfortably hot for vulnerable portions of the population. Moreover, forecasts suggest warmer than usual temperatures, with the possibility of heat waves in May, particularly in Belize and Trinidad.

“In view of drought relief in areas that become affected by drought by the month of March, April to June rainfall as a whole may be wetter than usual in the eastern Caribbean,” the CIMH added.

ADVERTISEMENT




POST A COMMENT

HOUSE RULES

1. We welcome reader comments on the top stories of the day. Some comments may be republished on the website or in the newspaper � email addresses will not be published.

2. Please understand that comments are moderated and it is not always possible to publish all that have been submitted. We will, however, try to publish comments that are representative of all received.

3. We ask that comments are civil and free of libellous or hateful material. Also please stick to the topic under discussion.

4. Please do not write in block capitals since this makes your comment hard to read.

5. Please don't use the comments to advertise. However, our advertising department can be more than accommodating if emailed: advertising@jamaicaobserver.com.

6. If readers wish to report offensive comments, suggest a correction or share a story then please email: community@jamaicaobserver.com.

7. Lastly, read our Terms and Conditions and Privacy Policy



comments powered by Disqus
ADVERTISEMENT

Poll

ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT

Today's Cartoon

Click image to view full size editorial cartoon
ADVERTISEMENT