Sports

The Supreme Racing Guide's Top 10 Horses to Follow during 2019

BY OBSERVER RACING WRITER

Friday, January 18, 2019

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AFTER the publication last week of the Top 10 moments of the 2018 Racing Year, the team from the Supreme Racing Guide was faced with the arduous task of coming up with the Top 10 Horses to Follow in 2019.

This particular task was made even more difficult with a sluggish two-year-old campaign last year, thereby significantly reducing the options available to the team.

Nevertheless, the Top 10 Horse to Follow was arrived at and, the team shares their choices with readers.

The Top 10 Horses to Follow banks on the possible potential of the horses chosen and eliminates from consideration horses who have already established themselves at the various levels.

It is to be noted that from the list of Top 10 Horses to Follow for 2019, the Supreme Racing Guide was able to spot the winners of the 1000 Guineas, the Derby and the Governor's Cup.

The horses in the Top 10 are not listed with any particular preference.

DUKE – (three-year-old grey colt by Casual Trick Lady MacBeth) – Released the maiden tag over 7 furlongs (1,500m) on January 1, 2019, by half of a fighting length over King Tavari. Prior to that, Duke had raced three times delivering credible performances which suggested that he will be better going long and the longer races form the body of the Classics. However, that win on New Year's Day in which he ran 1:33.2 for the distance, suggested that Duke is heading in the right direction and should be a better animal this season. Although not as advanced as some of his peers, Duke is being prepared to give of his best in the Classic races. Watch this horse closely and for sure his trainer Richard Azan, who has been having a lean spell with his three-year-olds, knows how to produce Classic winners. Duke is a valid Top 10 Horse to Follow.

FATHER PATRICK – (three-year-old chestnut colt by Nuclear WayneLate Appeal) – Made an impressive debut on January 12, 2019 when making all the running in a 5 furlong (1,100m) maiden condition race. With Omar Walker in the saddle, Father Patrick won by five lengths in an impressive clocking of 1:06.2 and although he wasn't challenged throughout the race, he looks a good galloper. Showing signs of the running style of his half-brother Crucial Appeal, Father Patrick, if he improves as is expected, is going to develop into a more than reasonable sprint and middle-distance runner. One to watch during the Classic campaign, especially in the 2000 Guineas and is going to have much more to offer among his fellow three-year-olds and beyond.

EXTRUDER – (three-year-old chestnut colt by Adore The Gold Mama Blossom) – The placing of Extruder in the Top 10 list of horses to follow in 2019 is going to be the most controversial, because we don't know how good this colt really is at this point in his racing career. The Spencer Chung trainee made his debut on January 12, 2019 and finished in second spot behind the highly rated Father Patrick at 5 furlongs. Extruder was seen making mild headway in the straight and it is now expected to continue the natural process of development. Extruder, right now, might not possess the Classic qualities of his more established peers, but the Supreme Racing Guide's team believes he will be noticed down the line. Extruder is a chance selection, yet the belief is that talent is there. Let's wait and see.

CUSTER – (three-year-old chestnut colt by Blue Pepsi LodgePattygirl) – Was a 2 length winner on July 8, 2018 over three furlongs (600m). Custer won in a time of 35.4 and was expected to have an impact in the rest of the two-year-old races but got injured and was sidelined for the rest of the season. Custer returned to competitive racing on January 12, 2019 over seven furlongs (1,400m) and finished in fourth place behind Supreme Soul, leading the field before he gave away his lead inside the final furlong and a half (300m). He should benefit from that run and maybe he will need one or two more races to be fully effective, but he is surely one to watch this season. Another chance selection by the Supreme Racing Guide team, and only time will tell.

SUPREME SOUL – (three-year-old chestnut colt by Soul Warrior Beware Baby) – On December 8, 2018, as a two-year-old, the Anthony Nunes-conditioned Supreme Soul made his debut over a mile (1,600m) in a field of 11 runners as the 4-5 favourite. With the experienced Shane Ellis in the saddle, Supreme Soul made all the running to win by eight lengths going away from El Gringo and company. The half-brother to Bigdaddykool then returned in the Jamaica Two-Year-Olds Stakes over the same distance, and after he was outpaced in the early part of the race, he came with a strong effort in deep stretch only to be outdone by half-a-length by Run Thatcher Run. Supreme Soul showed improvement and his undoubted class when he slammed rivals by 8 lengths going seven furlongs on January 12 in a time of 1:26.0, which was more than adequate proof of his growth and stature as one of the leading lights among his age group. He is consistently showing that he will be better going long and with most of the Classic races contested for over two turns, Supreme Soul is definitely one of the top contenders.

NUCLEAR FLIGHT – (four-year-old dark bay filly by Nuclear Wayne City Flight) – Won five races from seven starts in 2018, with her last two runs in the year being victories. Trained by Gary Subratie, Nuclear Flight returned in the new year and finished second to Another Bullet at the Open Allowance level in the St Catherine Cup over five-and -a-half furlongs in what was her first run at this level. That last performance solidified Nuclear Flight's upward trajectory, and such improvement by this filly merits serious consideration for the future. Coming down the five straight, Nuclear Flight is going to be very difficult to beat and she is now getting well acquainted with the round section of the track. Basically, a sprinter, Nuclear Flight is talented and deserves a lot of consideration and with further improvement on the cards, she has been chosen to be on the Top 10 list.

ANOTHER VIGOROUS (four-year-old bay gelding by Legal Process Miss Nickels) – This horse has significantly changed from an out and sprinter to one who is now having a telling effect going over longer distances. He was the winner of five races from 12 starts in 2018. Another Vigorous' win the $1.15 million Gladiator Trophy on December 29, 2018 was another clear example of a trainer patiently working with a horse to ensure competitiveness over a wider range of distances. Trainer Rowan Mathie is to be congratulated for his efforts as now it seems that Another Vigorous has developed the ability of sitting off the pace instead of setting off in blown-out fashion, and thereafter pouncing in deep stretch. Another Vigorous came back to the races on January 12 in the St Catherine Cup over five-and-a-half furlongs, and after being squeezed out at the half mile, rallied in the latter part of the race with a strong run to get beaten narrowly in third spot by Another Bullet and his continual nemesis, Nuclear Flight. Another Vigorous is going to be effective from six furlongs up to a mile quite easily and while it has taken some time, 2019 might just be a major breakthrough year for this horse. Another Vigorous is showing versatility, he is strong and is sure to rattle some feathers later down in the year and might even make his presence really felt at the top level during 2019.

FAYROUZ (four-year-old chestnut filly by Blue Pepsi LodgePrincess Geeta) – Easily the best of the local fillies among her peers to take to the racetrack last season. Fayrouz raced 11 times in 2018, winning three times, finishing second three times with two — third positions and one fourth. In the Classic races, Fayrouz was fifth in the 1000 Guineas, won the Jamaica Oaks, was third in the Jamaica Derby and ended second in the Jamaica St Leger which speaks volumes about her true potential and ability. Fayrouz won at the Open Allowance level on September 29, 2018 over 7 furlongs, beating Marquesas by a short head. It was Marquesas who defeated her in the Jamaica St Leger. Although she failed to ignite any sparks in her next two races, Fayrouz has the class and talent to perform well and the Supreme Racing Guide is of the view that she is going to continue making improvements in 2019.

ENEDINA (three-year-old bay filly by Film Director Yaella) – Did not capture much of the headlines when finishing a close second on debut but returned to win the second time of asking. Enedina is a half-sister to the consistent and courageous top-class campaigner Campesino and as such there is enough good genes circulating in her system for her to develop and deliver good performances for her connections in 2019. Enedina appears to be a sprinter —middle-distance runner in the making but don't be surprised if she develops especially at the middle stage of the racing year. Enedina comes from a barn that has already won the 1000 Guineas and she has shown a certain level of toughness which bodes well for the future. Enedina is a bit of a risk for the Top 10 but it is a risk the Supreme Racing Guide's team is willing to take. Watch this horse very closely as rumours were circulating at the end of last year that the top-notch trainers were seeking to buy Enedina.

EARN YOUR STRIPES: (three-year-old chestnut colt by Nuclear WayneBrown Sugar) – Certainly did not earn his stripes on Boxing Day 2018 in the Jamaica Two-Year-Old Stakes over one mile partially because he blistered six furlongs in a crazy 1:10.2 to effectively throw away any chance of winning the most prestigious juvenile event on offer. For the Top 10 Horses to Follow in 2019, the team is prepared to forget that insane Boxing Day run, preferring instead to look at the potential of the Anthony Nunes-trained colt. On his debut (December 1, 2018), Earn Your Stripes as the big favourite, disappointed when finishing third behind Run Thatcher Run and Scoobert. Earn Your Stripes returned on December 15 and won convincingly over seven furlongs recording the appealing time of 1:25.0 for the distance. It is based on that run, that Earn Your Stripes is in the Top 10 as the strong view of the analysists is that this horse is far from reaching his summit as yet.


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