What growth? PNP warns Jamaicans to expect ‘economic decline’
The opposition People’s National Party
(PNP) has urged Jamaicans to brace for likely economy shrinkage due to the
most-recent growth statistics as well as the adverse effects the novel coronavirus
(COVID-19) has put on global markets.
In a statement, the PNP alluded to data
from the Planning Institute of Jamaica (PIOJ)—which indicated a
less-than-impressive growth rate of 0.1 per cent in the Jamaican economy for the
final quarter of 2019.
Considering the sluggish growth, the PIOJ further
reduced its projection for the 2019/20 fiscal year to 0.6 per cent.
“With
growth having ground to a virtual halt in the second half of 2019, and the
impact of the coronavirus now looming, the Jamaican economy could well be
headed into a period of economic contraction,” the party said.
For his part, Shadow Minister of Finance
and Planning Mark Golding pointed out that the country and several key
industries were at risk.
“Key sectors of the economy are already in
negative territory, with the construction sector shrinking by two per cent in
the fourth quarter of 2019, and bauxite/alumina in a deep tailspin with the
closure of Jisco/Alpart,” Golding argued.
“Bauxite/alumina
faces waning demand from the dislocation in China, tourism is vulnerable due to
vacationers’ reluctance to risk international travel, and manufacturing is
exposed to serious disruption in the international supply chain and much higher
prices for alternative sources,” he noted further.
According to him, the COVID-19 outbreak is
already affecting the island, as logistics activity at the Port of Kingston has
seen a sharp reduction, with port workers being told to take a pay cut or face
layoffs.
“It cannot be business as usual. It is
clear the economy has been slowing, and serious challenges lie ahead. The
Government needs to level with the people and indicate what measures will be
pursued to mitigate the adverse impact of this economic storm on ordinary
Jamaicans. The Opposition stands ready to join in a national response to the
looming crisis, but the Government must lead and not bury its head in the sand
as events unfold,” Golding said.