Calculus gets the nod in the Distinctly Irish
…but will have to be at his best against King Arthur, I’ve Got Magic
Trainer Gary Subratie saddling Calculus.

Although the native-bred three-year-old fillies are the centre of attraction in the 1000 Guineas, the Distinctly Irish Trophy, a three-year-old and upwards Open Allowance/Graded Stakes contest for older horses, will significantly add to the excitement of the Guineas race day tomorrow, Saturday, June 4, at Caymanas Park.

King Arthur and Calculus, both former Derby winners, and the progressive I’ve Got Magic, lead a field of seven runners in the nine-furlongs and 25-yards (1,820m) event, carrying a total purse of $1.5 million.

Below is the analysis in draw order.

1. BILLY WHIZZ: (4 ch g by Northern GiantKhadiliah) – Was an easy winner on May 14 when travelling nine furlongs (1,800m). That win was at the Overnight Allowance and now up against the big boys, Billy Whizz is still going to be competitive throughout the contest. Drawn at one, Billy Whizz, in his usual running style, will go to the front and has to be caught. He has already proven his worth against the best as a three-year-old, making this trophy event well within his grasp.

2. I AM FRED (USA): (4 b g by Golden Lad Happy Hailey) – After his impressive nine-length win in the World Veterinary Day Trophy at a mile on April 30, I Am Fred was expected to deliver another good showing in the Seeking My Dream Trophy on May 21. However, he failed to fire and finished in seventh place. In the Seeking My Dream, I Am Fred came out of his starting barrier slowly after giving gate handlers trouble to enter. If he can settle down and leave the gates in good order, then I Am Fred will perform better. Cannot be ruled out.

3. KING ARTHUR: (5 b g by Natural Selection Geisha’s Art) – Returned to expected form on last when producing a late run to win the Lady Geeta Trophy over six furlongs (1,200m), a distance which many believe was a tad short for this former Derby winner. With his form regained, King Arthur, now travelling a distance more to his liking and with the weight allotted not onerous, is sure to pack a serious punch.

4. CALCULUS: (4 b c by Sensational Slam Trinket Box) – Finished third by close to six lengths in The Viceroy Trophy on April 23 at 7 ½ furlongs. Then Calculus was defeated by Excessive Force and I’ve Got Magic, with the latter just half a length in front. Tomorrow Calculus goes up 7 lb in the handicaps and I’ve Got Magic by 16 lb based on the last occasion they met, that’s a difference of 9 lb in favour of Calculus. In addition, Calculus is at his best journeying around two turns, while this will be a first for I’ve Got Magic. Coming off a break of 42 days, Calculus is primed and ready and has to be given the nod, as the longer they go, the better it is for him.

5. I’VE GOT MAGIC (USA): (4 b c by Fast Anna Lil Miss Richie) – Was an upset winner in the Seeking My Dream over 7 ½ furlongs (1,500m) on May 21. The consistent I’ve Got Magic has made significant progress in the last two months with that win in the Seeking My Dream sealing the deal that he is to be respected in the higher grade. I’ve Got Magic has the ability to stay close to the pacesetters and then delivering in the final two furlongs of the stretch run. Comes up against Calculus on worse terms, but given the progress he is currently making, I’ve Got Magic is a live contender.

6. HOVER CRAFT: (12 b g by He’stherealthing - Royal Pizzaz) – This oldster continues to defy the odds. Hover Craft thoroughly enjoys two turns but will have to settle for, at best, a minor share in this one.

7. CRIMSON: (6 b g by Nuclear WayneSarah Barracuda) – Finished fourth in the Seeking My Dream and will be hard-pressed to even repeat that effort.

RUDDY ALLEN

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