CARIBBEAN governments, indigenous banks and offshore banks located in the Caribbean are extremely concerned about the withdrawal of correspondent relations from Caribbean banks by their counterparts in the United States of America (USA).

Caribbean Heads of Government, at a meeting in Belize in February, made their concern very clear. The Caribbean Association of Banks have done so in separate statements. Their sense of alarm arises from the fact that, if all correspondent banking relations are withdrawn, the region will be isolated from the rest of the world and will be unable to carry out the most basic of bank transactions.

In many Caribbean countries there has been a steady decline in such correspondent banking relations, and there is no sign of an early abatement.

Caribbean governments and banks are not alone in their concern. Other regions of the world are also similarly affected. Countries in East Asia, the Pacific, Eastern Europe, and Central Asia, with significant offshore banking activities, are also affected.

What has caused the withdrawal of correspondent relations to the Caribbean and the other regions identified above is the huge penalties that US banks would have to pay if any incidence of money laundering, terrorism financing, or tax evasion passed through them from their correspondent banks. Regulatory and enforcement agencies have dealt harshly with such incidents, creating a strong deterrent to taking risks. The simplest form of “de-risking” is to terminate correspondent banking relations.

Paradoxically, the very rule-making bodies, such as the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) and the Financial Stability Board (FSB), that created the rules and penalties that now terrify US banks and encourage them to “de-risk”, are themselves becoming concerned about the decline in correspondent banking relations.

Last November, the FSB released a statement saying: “At the extreme, if an individual bank loses access to correspondent banking services this may affect its viability, and if a country’s banks more generally face restricted access then it may affect the functioning of the local banking system. In addition, loss of correspondent banking services can create financial exclusion, particularly where it affects flows such as remittances which are a key source of funds for people in many developing countries.” The report rightly observes that: “The ability to make and receive international payments via correspondent banking is vital for businesses and individuals and for the G20’s goal of strong, sustainable, balanced growth.”

In the statement, sent to the group of powerful nations — the G20 — the FSB stated that a World Bank survey of jurisdictions and banks finds that roughly half of the emerging market and developing economies surveyed have experienced a decline in correspondent banking services. Three-quarters of the 20 large correspondent banks participating in the survey responded that the number of correspondent accounts they hold for other banks had declined between end 2012 and mid-2015.

The FSB report did not end there. Significantly, it stated that “the main drivers given by the large banks for their reduction in correspondent banking were concerns about money laundering and terrorism-financing risks in the jurisdictions of their counterpart banks”. In other words, even though US banks are aware that, in the case of the Caribbean, organisations such as the FATF and the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development Global Forum on Tax Matters have found jurisdictions to be compliant with rules and enforcement, they are unwilling to take the risk.

The FATF has given an undertaking to the FSB that it will “clarify regulatory expectations, as a matter of priority, including more guidance, on the application of standards for anti-money laundering and combating the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT) to correspondent banking, especially on the customer due diligence expectations for correspondent banks when faced with respondent banks in ‘high-risk scenarios’, as well as additional work on remittances, financial inclusion and non-profit organisations”.

That work will be ready in two stages: June and October 2016. Whether it will make any difference to banks in the US is left to be seen. In any event, at the rate at which correspondent banking relations are being withdrawn, any FATF recommendations in October 2016, even if they are helpful, may come too late to help some Caribbean banks that are already reduced to tenuous relations with just one correspondent bank.

In this scenario, it is imperative that Caribbean banks cease their reliance on US banks alone for their correspondent relations in the US. It is time that they jointly, in groups, or individually establish an agency of their own in the US to be their correspondent bank and handle their transactions in the US and beyond. They have to ensure that they will be able to do business if US banks abandon them. And, it must be the banks themselves — not Caribbean governments — that undertake the establishment of such an agency. Governments can advocate for the agency with US authorities and provide any non-financial assistance than may be helpful, including diplomatic and political spadework, but it must be the banks that look after their own business.

Establishing a Caribbean-owned agency in the US to provide correspondent relations for regional banks is not impossible, though it is difficult, and will require investment in time, money and professional advice. An application for such an entity would have to be made concurrently to the Federal Reserve Bank and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. If the application is approved by these two bodies, a licence to operate can then be sought from the Northeast District Licensing Division in New York. There are strict and onerous criteria that would have to be satisfied in each case, including extensive background checks on the banks and their affiliates and reviews of the effectiveness of the regulatory regimes of the jurisdictions in which they are located. The procedure could take longer than six months and would require the banks to dedicate staff or employ qualified consultants to see them through the process.

But there is no swift or easy solution to the present problem. If Caribbean banks believe that there is no risk to US banks in the provision of correspondent relations, then they should be prepared to take the risk themselves by setting up their own agency to facilitate their business. They might even make more money.

Sir Ronald Sanders is Antigua and Barbuda’s ambassador to the US; an international affairs consultant; as well as senior fellow at Massey College, University of Toronto, and the Institute of Commonwealth Studies, London. The views expressed are his own. For responses and to view previous commentaries: www.sirronaldsanders.com.