Byles silent on future as term nears end
BANK of Jamaica Governor Richard Byles has declined to confirm whether he’ll seek to extend his term at the central bank beyond the August 2026 expiration of his current contract.
At 74, Byles — who was called out of retirement in 2019 to lead the central bank — will turn 75 next year February, raising concerns about whether he will stay on. Questioned about his future at Wednesday’s monetary policy press briefing, he offered: “It’s been my privilege to lead the Bank of Jamaica for the last six years or so, and I am 75 next year so let’s leave that whole question at that place,” he said, avoiding a direct response to the question about his future as central bank governor.
Pressed further on the matter and on succession plans, he deferred, saying only: “We will leave some of those [answers] for another occasion.”
Byles took office in August 2019, just months before the COVID-19 pandemic devastated Jamaica’s tourism-dependent economy. Under his leadership the BOJ battled inflation peaking at 11.8 per cent in April 2022, now eased to 5.3 per cent, with policy rates cut from 7 per cent to 5.75 per cent over the last nine months.
Asked to assess his tenure so far leading the bank through those challenges, Byles was forthright in outlining not just his achievements, but the persistent risks that weigh on Jamaica’s economic future.
“Look, Jamaica is a small open economy, very vulnerable. As the winds blow, so too we catch cold — and that always is something to be concerned about. You never see the next thing coming around the corner, and it hits hard.”
He elaborated on structural weaknesses.
“The fact that we don’t have a big domestic economy that can sustain and drive itself with internal growth is a concern. We are a very open economy, dependent on tourism, dependent on imports — all of which have serious implications for us and we don’t have control over them. So, that keeps me up at night, and I think it would keep up any administrator of the country at night.”
Despite these challenges Byles emphasised one institutional strength — the central bank’s operational independence since April 2021.
“I must say, ever since the central bank was made into an independent central bank in April 2021 we have had a very good relationship with the Ministry of Finance and with the prime minister himself. Nobody has really trespassed on our authority over monetary policy. Whether it was the previous minister of finance or this current minister, they have been truly respectful of the independence of the central bank.”
Byles’ highlight of Jamaica’s central bank independence came amidst global debates over monetary policy — including mounting pressure on the US Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. He drew direct parallels between Jamaica’s challenges and those faced by Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who has resisted premature rate reductions.
“The chairman has done what he considers to be right, which is always the correct thing to do,” Byles said. “An independent central bank is just that,” he added, pointing out that they are “jam-packed with technical expertise” in analysing data others can’t access.
“So, it’s not a question about Jerome Powell and his decision nor Richard Byles and my decision. It is a question of the data we are gathering, better than anybody else, and the people and experts who are assessing that data and drawing conclusions — and they are the best that are available. So, I think from that perspective it is always the correct thing to respect the independence of the central banks.”
The remarks come as Jamaica faces its own debates over monetary policy, with the governor urging banks to start cutting lending rates amidst the recent easing of its policy rate.