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The storms are sending us a dire warning
Ackeeno Cole makes his way through downed trees after speaking to the Jamaica Observer last Wednesday in St Elizabeth while on his way to his Hurricane Melissa-ravaged farm. (Photos: Garfield Robinson)
Editorial
November 10, 2025

The storms are sending us a dire warning

In recent weeks, nature has delivered three stark reminders that the climate crisis is no longer a distant future problem — it is here, and it is escalating.

First came the monster Category 5 Hurricane Melissa, which made landfall in Jamaica and devastated western sections of the island. Scientists say every aspect of its ferocity was worsened by human-induced warming — wind speeds boosted by seven per cent, rainfall by 16 per cent, and the odds of the storm occurring multiplied six-fold.

Then the archipelago of The Philippines was hit by successive storms, first Typhoon Kalmaegi, which sent flood waters rushing through the towns and cities of Cebu and Negros islands.

According to disaster database EM-DAT, Kalmaegi was the deadliest typhoon of 2025, killing at least 224 people and leaving 109 missing.

Then yesterday, Super Typhoon Fung-wong slammed into The Philippines’ eastern seaboard with a radius spanning nearly the whole of the archipelagic nation.

These are not isolated events, but part of an intensifying pattern.

What we are seeing is the physics of climate change in action — warmer oceans, moister air, more intense storms, faster intensification, and higher risk for vulnerable nations. In the case of Hurricane Melissa, scientists tell us that the warming Atlantic provided a super-fuelled environment for rapid intensification.

In The Philippines, studies show that the likelihood of back-to-back major typhoons has increased by about 25 per cent compared with the pre-industrial climate. These facts matter because they bring home a stark truth: adaptation and resilience alone are not sufficient unless we dramatically accelerate mitigation and stop treating these storms as acts of nature divorced from human action.

Which brings us to the 11-day COP 30 conference scheduled to open today in Brazil.

This gathering of all parties under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change is being billed as a “COP for implementation” — a time to move beyond pledges to tangible delivery.

As we argued in this space last week, the world simply cannot afford a business-as-usual outcome, because storms like Melissa and Kalmaegi are already showing how fast the emergency is escalating.

For small island developing states (SIDS) such as Jamaica, and for the disaster-prone Philippines, the stakes cannot be higher. Jamaica and other SIDS have repeatedly sounded the alarm, calling for wealthier nations to honour their commitments on climate finance and to support adaptation and loss and damage. In light of Melissa’s devastation — damage equated to about one-third of Jamaica’s gross domestic product (GDP), according to some estimates — the call from the Caribbean is unmistakable.

COP 30 must deliver on several fronts:

• a clear roadmap to upgrade national climate action plans and raise ambition consistent with limiting global warming to 1.5°C;

• a concrete mechanism for scaling up climate finance for adaptation and loss and damage — especially for countries which contributed the least to the crisis but are suffering the most;

• a just transition from fossil-fuels, coupled with nature-based solutions and protection of key ecosystems such as the Amazon, whose preservation is essential to global climate stability;

Either we heed the alarms nature is sounding or we allow the next generation of leaders to confront disasters of even greater scale with fewer tools.

 

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