Stocks dropped. Participation didn’t.
THE Jamaica Stock Market (JSE) fell last year but participation did not. Investors traded more often, just with smaller amounts — a pattern that reflects caution rather than retreat.
End-of-year figures reveal that the total number of trades on the Combined Market — both main and junior markets — rose to 342,957, up 8.6 per cent from 315,783 in 2024. Yet, even as activity increased, both the value and volume of shares traded declined; total value fell 10.96 per cent to $66.94 billion, and total volume was down 7.22 per cent to 9.52 billion units, compared to $75.17 billion and 10.26 billion units a year earlier. The behaviour aligns with the broader economic pressures Jamaican households faced in 2025, from rising living costs to higher financing expenses, which likely reduced the amount of discretionary income available for investing, even among individuals who remained active in the market.
The JSE, however, noted that more Jamaicans have been exploring equities in recent years, encouraged by easier access to online trading, wider financial education, and growing interest in long-term wealth-building. While the JSE has not yet published its 2025 annual report and the current number of investor accounts is unknown, the most recent available data from its 2023 report show, “In 2023, the JCSD added 42,690 new accounts, up by 18,325 or 75 per cent from the previous year in 2022.” Although the report does not break down investors by income levels, the rise in account openings points to increasing participation from Jamaicans who are entering the market with modest amounts.
But the structure of trading in 2025 may also reflect heightened uncertainty during the year, particularly following the United States’s announcement of new tariffs and shifts in global trade policy. The possibility of higher import costs, supply-chain disruptions, and pressure on local manufacturers introduced fresh volatility, prompting both new and experienced investors to trade cautiously. For an import-dependent economy like Jamaica, investors often react quickly to signals that could affect production costs or company earnings. The pattern of increased trading frequency but reduced transaction size throughout 2025 is consistent with investors monitoring headlines, adjusting positions slowly, and waiting for clearer direction before committing larger sums.
Even as smaller investors pulled back, institutional players appeared to take advantage of lower valuations. Block transactions on the Main Market surged in 2025, with total block value jumping more than 700 per cent year over year. The concentrated volumes in companies such as TransJamaican Highway, Wigton Windfarm, and R A Williams, each recording hundreds of millions to billions of units traded, point to large investors repositioning their portfolios in a down market. This institutional activity helped support overall trading numbers but did not offset the broad decline in market value. By year end the JSE Combined Index had fallen 5.59 per cent, and total market capitalisation dipped 4.41 per cent to $1.84 trillion. Every major index closed lower for the year.
What emerged in 2025, then, was not a retreat from equities but a recalibration. More Jamaicans continued to take part in the stock market, even as they responded to a challenging year with tighter, more measured strategies. The steady expansion of investor accounts, combined with the rise of smaller, more frequent trades, suggests that market participation is gradually broadening beyond the traditional investing class. And although disposable income remained under pressure, many investors still chose to stay engaged, adjusting position sizes, monitoring market developments closely, and positioning themselves for opportunities when conditions improve. Whether 2026 brings stronger earnings, ease in cost pressures or greater clarity in global trade policy, the resilience of retail participation hints at a market slowly deepening its base, even in uncertain times.