Barita feels the chill as market-driven gains fade
BARITA Investments Limited’s profit fell in the year ended September 30, 2025, as market-driven gains cooled, squeezing earnings after several years of outsized returns.
The decline was driven by a sharp drop in investment revaluation and trading gains, which fell by roughly two-fifths from a year earlier, offsetting double-digit growth in fee income and a surge in net interest income and highlighting a shift away from valuation-led profits towards more recurring sources of revenue.
For the year, the company reported profit of just over $3 billion, down from about $3.8 billion a year earlier, as gains from investment revaluations and trading eased after several years of strong market performance. The softer outcome was not driven by weakness in core operations. Fee and commission income rose by roughly 12 per cent, while net interest income increased by more than 70 per cent, reflecting higher yields and balance-sheet activity. Instead, the change in performance stemmed largely from the cooling of market-driven gains, which had been a significant contributor to earnings in the prior period.
The shift highlights a broader recalibration in the sources of profitability. As valuation-led gains recede, Barita’s results increasingly reflect the underlying performance of its brokerage, asset management and interest-earning activities. This transition reduces reliance on favourable market movements, but also places greater weight on execution, pricing discipline and risk management.
Cash generation strengthened during the year, offering a measure of reassurance beneath the softer earnings headline. Operating cash flow swung back into a solid inflow in 2025 after a large outflow in the previous year, supported by tighter working-capital management and a sharp contraction in the loan book, which declined by more than one-third. The improvement suggests that earnings quality has held up, even as reported profit moderated.
The balance sheet, however, continued to expand. Total assets rose by about 5 per cent to just under $150 billion, driven by growth in pledged assets and receivables, while funding remained heavily dependent on repurchase agreements and other borrowings — a structure typical of primary dealers. Equity was broadly unchanged over the period, constrained by dividend payments and valuation movements in investment reserves. The combination leaves the firm more exposed to shifts in market liquidity than during periods of rising asset prices.
Dividend policy is therefore attracting closer attention. Dividends proposed for the year amounted to about $3 billion, broadly matching annual profit and up from roughly $2.5 billion a year earlier. The payout absorbed most of the year’s earnings, limiting growth in retained profits and reinforcing the trade-off between shareholder returns and balance-sheet flexibility as market conditions become less supportive. Had dividends merely been held flat at the prior year’s level, retained earnings would have risen by roughly $500 million, rather than remaining broadly unchanged.
That exposure was also evident in other comprehensive income, which swung negative as realised losses on investment securities outweighed unrealised gains. The movements underline the volatility that can accompany mark-to-market accounting, particularly when market conditions soften.
The results were accompanied by a delay in the filing of the company’s annual report, following the late completion of audited financial statements, with a revised submission date set for early March. Although such delays are not unusual for financial groups with complex balance sheets, they tend to draw closer scrutiny in periods of heightened market sensitivity.
Taken together, the figures do not suggest stress, but they do signal a change in phase. Barita remains profitable, yet the easing of market tailwinds means that future performance will depend less on valuation gains and more on disciplined execution. For the wider securities sector, the results offer a reminder that as markets normalise, fundamentals — rather than momentum — again take centre stage.
— Dashan Hendricks