Subscribe Login
Jamaica Observer
ePaper
The Edge 105 FM Radio Fyah 105 FM
Jamaica Observer
ePaper
The Edge 105 FM Radio Fyah 105 FM
    • Home
    • News
      • Latest News
      • Cartoon
      • International News
      • Central
      • North & East
      • Western
      • Environment
      • Health
      • #
    • Business
      • Business Bites
      • Social Love
    • Sports
      • Football
      • Basketball
      • Cricket
      • Horse Racing
      • World Champs
      • Commonwealth Games
      • FIFA World Cup 2022
      • Olympics
      • #
    • Entertainment
      • Music
      • Movies
      • Art & Culture
      • Bookends
      • #
    • Lifestyle
      • Page2
      • Food
      • Tuesday Style
      • Food Awards
      • JOL Takes Style Out
      • Design Week JA
      • Black Friday
      • #
    • All Woman
      • Home
      • Relationships
      • Features
      • Fashion
      • Fitness
      • Rights
      • Parenting
      • Advice
      • #
    • Obituaries
    • Classifieds
      • Employment
      • Property
      • Motor Vehicles
      • Place an Ad
      • Obituaries
    • More
      • Games
      • Elections
      • Jobs & Careers
      • Study Centre
      • Jnr Study Centre
      • Letters
      • Columns
      • Advertorial
      • Editorial
      • Supplements
      • Webinars
    • Home
    • News
      • Latest News
      • Cartoon
      • International News
      • Central
      • North & East
      • Western
      • Environment
      • Health
      • #
    • Business
      • Business Bites
      • Social Love
    • Sports
      • Football
      • Basketball
      • Cricket
      • Horse Racing
      • World Champs
      • Commonwealth Games
      • FIFA World Cup 2022
      • Olympics
      • #
    • Entertainment
      • Music
      • Movies
      • Art & Culture
      • Bookends
      • #
    • Lifestyle
      • Page2
      • Food
      • Tuesday Style
      • Food Awards
      • JOL Takes Style Out
      • Design Week JA
      • Black Friday
      • #
    • All Woman
      • Home
      • Relationships
      • Features
      • Fashion
      • Fitness
      • Rights
      • Parenting
      • Advice
      • #
    • Obituaries
    • Classifieds
      • Employment
      • Property
      • Motor Vehicles
      • Place an Ad
      • Obituaries
    • More
      • Games
      • Elections
      • Jobs & Careers
      • Study Centre
      • Jnr Study Centre
      • Letters
      • Columns
      • Advertorial
      • Editorial
      • Supplements
      • Webinars
  • Home
  • News
    • International News
  • Latest
  • Business
    • Business Bites
  • Cartoon
  • Games
  • Food Awards
  • Health
  • Entertainment
    • Bookends
  • Regional
  • Sports
    • Sports
    • World Cup
    • World Champs
    • Olympics
  • All Woman
  • Career & Education
  • Environment
  • Webinars
  • More
    • Football
    • Elections
    • Letters
    • Advertorial
    • Columns
    • Editorial
    • Supplements
  • Epaper
  • Classifieds
  • Design Week
Business, Financials
AP  
February 16, 2010

Strong dollar hurts US exports

NEW YORK, United States – BEN Bernanke and Tim Geithner keep saying that they support a strong dollar. Now that we have it, they should eat their words.

The dollar has surged to a nine-month high against the euro, and is also rising against other major currencies. If it keeps strengthening, that could damage the already fragile US economic recovery.

Gains in the US currency will hurt exports, which are big contributors to the US economy right now. American companies will find it more expensive to sell goods and services abroad, and imports here will be cheaper — good for consumers, but bad for businesses.

President Barack Obama, in his State of the Union address in late January, set out a goal of doubling exports over the next five years, which he said would create two million jobs.

A strong dollar would wreck that plan. Every one per cent increase in the dollar, averaged against other major currencies, knocks US exports down by about US$20 billion annually and destroys some 150,000 jobs, according to the Peterson Institute for International Economics, a Washington-based nonpartisan research group.

Ouch is right.

“Americans are spent out, unemployed and can’t use their homes as ATMs,” said David Gilmore, a partner at Foreign Exchange Analytics in Essex, Connecticut. “We need foreigners to pick up the slack, but a strong dollar certainly won’t help that.”

All this may sound somewhat illogical. Usually stronger means better, right? At times, that’s true, but not now.

Today, it takes about US$1.36 to buy one euro. Three months ago, it took US$1.51 to buy one euro. That means a dollar will now go 10 per cent further than in November if you were exchanging the two currencies.

If you’re planning a trip to Europe, then this is good news because you’ll get more for your money. It’s also a boon to US consumers who can buy foreign goods for less. Investors like when the dollar is strong because it tends to bolster dollar-denominated assets like US stocks and bonds.

The flip side is that foreigners will have to spend 10 per cent more to purchase US goods. An American automaker who wants to sell a US$20,000 car abroad would charge euro14,700 at today’s rates compared with euro13,245 in November.

That’s why a weak dollar, not a stronger one, would be better for US exporters. American companies could charge less than the local competition in foreign markets, and imports to the United States would be more expensive, which would make US-made goods more competitive at home, too.

Instead, we have US goods costing more abroad and imports costing less here, which means American companies have to discount everywhere in order to compete.

And yet top US officials still support a stronger dollar.

“When the world was most at risk and most scared, people were still putting their resources in dollars and Treasuries, and we want to preserve that,” Treasury Secretary Geithner said during a Senate Finance Committee hearing on February 2.

Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke also has voiced his support for a strong dollar in recent months.

They’ve gotten what they’ve wanted. A rebounding US economy, which rose 5.7 per cent in the fourth quarter, has helped ignite a dollar rally.

A bigger force behind the dollar’s rise has been economic woes in other parts of the world, namely Europe. Worries that Greece could default on its debt and other countries including Spain and Portugal could also be vulnerable to collapse, has knocked down the euro to its weakest level since last May.

Investors don’t want to hold currencies in markets where there could be financial turmoil. The dollar has long been considered the market’s favoured safe-haven currency.

The US Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a trade-weighted basket of currencies, has risen about 7.5 per cent since November.

The trouble with the dollar’s gains is that it puts a major driver of US economic growth at risk. The United States sells about US$1.5-trillion worth of goods and services annually to the rest of the world, according to the Peterson Institute.

Of the 5.7 per cent growth rate in the overall US economy in the fourth quarter, exports added 1.9 per centage points.

“We are a country that is now counting on export growth to lead us,” says Nigel Gault, chief US economist at the consulting firm Global Insight in Lexington, Massachusetts.

A rising dollar also hurts businesses reliant on foreign markets. Standard & Poor’s 500 companies derive on average about half their sales from abroad.

It’s not just the higher prices for their goods that affects companies with foreign operations, but they also stand to make less when they convert what they’ve earned aboard back into dollars and bring their profits home.

A company that makes euro600 million in sales in Europe would see that convert to US$882 million at the current exchange rate. Three months ago, it would have been valued at US$906 million.

Pfizer Inc, the world’s largest pharmaceutical company, was among the first to warn about the effect of the rising dollar. It’s estimating that the hit from the dollar’s gains could have as much as 6 cents from its 2010 earnings. That will push its projected full-year earnings to US$2.10 to US$2.20 a share, below analysts’ expectations.

{"website":"website"}{"jamaica-observer":"Jamaica Observer"}
img img
0 Comments · Make a comment

ALSO ON JAMAICA OBSERVER

Nigerian military rescues 31 worshippers kidnapped during Easter church masses
International News, Latest News
Nigerian military rescues 31 worshippers kidnapped during Easter church masses
April 5, 2026
LAGOS, Nigeria (AFP)—The Nigerian military said Sunday it had rescued 31 worshippers seized from Easter celebrations in northwestern Kaduna state, tho...
{"jamaica-observer":"Jamaica Observer"}
Gordon steps aside from PAC, shadow cabinet amid JACDEN probe—Mark Golding
Latest News, News
Gordon steps aside from PAC, shadow cabinet amid JACDEN probe—Mark Golding
April 5, 2026
KINGSTON, Jamaica—Opposition Leader Mark Golding has announced that Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of JACDEN Dennis Gordon has been instructed to step ...
{"jamaica-observer":"Jamaica Observer"}
‘Irie Feelings’ hitmaker Rupie Edwards laid to rest
Entertainment, Latest News
‘Irie Feelings’ hitmaker Rupie Edwards laid to rest
April 5, 2026
KINGSTON, Jamaica—Rupie Edwards, the singer/producer who entered the British national chart in 1975 with Irie Feelings (Skanga) , was laid to rest on ...
{"jamaica-observer":"Jamaica Observer"}
Gov’t promises tech-driven, seamless experience at Biennial Jamaica Diaspora Conference
Latest News, News
Gov’t promises tech-driven, seamless experience at Biennial Jamaica Diaspora Conference
BY HOWARD CAMPBELL Observer writer 
April 5, 2026
KINGSTON, Jamaica—The Jamaican government has promised a delegate-friendly atmosphere for the Biennial Jamaica Diaspora Conference, scheduled for June...
{"jamaica-observer":"Jamaica Observer"}
Jamaica’s medal tally stands at 27 after Sunday’s first session at Carifta Games
Latest News, Sports
Jamaica’s medal tally stands at 27 after Sunday’s first session at Carifta Games
April 5, 2026
KINGSTON, Jamaica—Jamaica added five more medals- a gold, two silver and two bronze- on Sunday morning’s session at the 53rd Carifta Games, being held...
{"jamaica-observer":"Jamaica Observer"}
Leeds beat West Ham in shoot-out to reach FA Cup semis for first time in 39 years
International News, Latest News
Leeds beat West Ham in shoot-out to reach FA Cup semis for first time in 39 years
April 5, 2026
LONDON, United Kingdom (AFP)—Leeds reached the FA Cup semi-finals for the first time in 39 years as they survived a dramatic penalty shoot-out after s...
{"jamaica-observer":"Jamaica Observer"}
Trump appears to extend Iran deadline in cryptic post
International News, Latest News
Trump appears to extend Iran deadline in cryptic post
April 5, 2026
WASHINGTON, United States (AFP)—United States (US) President Donald Trump on Sunday appeared to extend by 24 hours his deadline for Iran to make a dea...
{"jamaica-observer":"Jamaica Observer"}
JTTA set to shine at Caribbean and Central American Championships
Latest News, Sports
JTTA set to shine at Caribbean and Central American Championships
BY KEDIESHA PERRY Observer writer 
April 5, 2026
KINGSTON, Jamaica—The Jamaica Table Tennis Association (JTTA) continues to strengthen its position on the regional stage as Jamaica participates in a ...
{"jamaica-observer":"Jamaica Observer"}
❮ ❯

Polls

HOUSE RULES

  1. We welcome reader comments on the top stories of the day. Some comments may be republished on the website or in the newspaper; email addresses will not be published.
  2. Please understand that comments are moderated and it is not always possible to publish all that have been submitted. We will, however, try to publish comments that are representative of all received.
  3. We ask that comments are civil and free of libellous or hateful material. Also please stick to the topic under discussion.
  4. Please do not write in block capitals since this makes your comment hard to read.
  5. Please don't use the comments to advertise. However, our advertising department can be more than accommodating if emailed: advertising@jamaicaobserver.com.
  6. If readers wish to report offensive comments, suggest a correction or share a story then please email: community@jamaicaobserver.com.
  7. Lastly, read our Terms and Conditions and Privacy Policy

Recent Posts

Archives

Facebook
Twitter
Instagram
Tweets

Polls

Recent Posts

Archives

Logo Jamaica Observer
Breaking news from the premier Jamaican newspaper, the Jamaica Observer. Follow Jamaican news online for free and stay informed on what's happening in the Caribbean
Featured Tags
  • Editorial
  • Columns
  • Health
  • Auto
  • Business
  • Letters
  • Page2
  • Football
Categories
  • Business
  • Politics
  • Entertainment
  • Page2
  • Business
  • Politics
  • Entertainment
  • Page2
Ads
img
Jamaica Observer, © All Rights Reserved
  • Home
  • Contact Us
  • RSS Feeds
  • Feedback
  • Privacy Policy
  • Editorial Code of Conduct