IS That A Fact, with four wins from his last four starts, and the well-decorated Mahogany headline a field of six runners in an Open Allowance contest for three-year-olds and upwards going five furlongs (1,000m) round.

Below is the analysis of each runner and their chances of winning the major share of the $1.4-million total purse on offer.

1. FREEDOM STREET: (4 b g by Uncaptured – Nofashionsense) – Pulled off an unexpected win in the Vassell “Jolly Man” Najair Memorial Cup over five and a half furlongs on October 8. Freedom Street is going to find repeating difficult.

2. MAHOGANY: (6 ch g by Sensational Slam – Mete-Orite) – Finished second by 1½ behind She’s My Destiny in the Philip Feanny Gold Cup over seven furlongs (1,400m) on October 16. Mahogany sat just behind the pace and left rivals in his wake as the distance approached but he didn’t have enough in the tank to last home. With the distance more in his favour and with that needed effort under his belt, Mahogany is coming hands down tomorrow.

3. JORDON REIGN’S (USA): (5 b g by Mosler – Dearie Be Good) – Has raced three times this season without any success. Jordon Reign’s is up against Mahogany and Is That A Fact, making it a challenging task to go by the winning post in front. Jordon Reign’s is expected to follow both runners home.

4. REGAL AND ROYAL: (5 b h by Soul Warrior – Wap) – Has no realistic chance of winning.

5. GENERATIONAL: (8 ch g by Fearless Vision – Electrifying) – Is going to be left way behind.

6. IS THAT A FACT (USA): (3 b c by Palace Malice – Valid Code) – Was a late non-starter in his recent race on October 7. Prior to that, Is That A Fact romped home to his fourth-consecutive victory in the Poorlittlerichgirl Trophy over seven furlongs on September 16. Is That A Fact won by a short head ahead of Blue Vinyl. He is well-suited by the reduction in journey. This foreigner is a leader, and now he faces the almighty speed of Mahogany which may well prove to be a deterrent for this three-year-old.