The Mile Showdown
Atomica, Mahogany, Jordon Reign's, Runaway Algo top four in Mouttet Mile

The anxiety thickens, as the day is at hand. Tomorrow, December 3, 2022, the inaugural running of the ultra-rich Mouttet Mile takes place at Caymanas Park.

The fact that the Mouttet Mile (invitational) carries a total purse of US$125,000 makes this the largest purse for a single event offered at Caymanas Park.

The Supreme Racing Guide now analyses the Mouttet Mile in search of the winner.

1. SHE'S MY DESTINY: (4 ch f by Bern Identity – Woman Is Boss) – Her last run was a win on November 12 in the St Elizabeth Distaff at a mile, in a new Stakes record time of 1:37.3. However, despite the fast time, that race was at the Overnight Allowance level, tomorrow this filly races in the class above. She's My Destiny has no choice but to run for the lead as she exits from the number one post-position. Despite her progress, the combination of the draw, plus the quality of rivals will make winning by She's My Destiny a difficult task.

2. ONEOFAKIND: (5 ch h by Fearless Vision – The Golden One) – Was scratched from the Jamaica Cup on November 12. Oneofakind has performed admirably against the best horses but the Moutte Mile is another difficult barrier to overcome. Oneofakind will be more than just a spectator in this race, and has an outsider's chance.

3. MAHOGANY: (5 ch g by Sensational Slam – Mete-Orite) – The number one-rated horse in the country at present. Mahogany won the Gold Cup by 3 lengths after conceding significant weight to rivals in the 7-furlong (1,400m) event. Mahogany is in the right shape at the right time and is endowed with class and courage, and his trainer Ian Parsard knows how to time these big races. There is no doubt that a fit and ready Mahogany is going to have a telling impact on the results of the Mouttet Mile.

4. JORDON REIGN'S (USA): (4 b g by Mosler – Dearie De Good) – One of the most improved horses in training at present. Jordon Reign's went into the Gold Cup on October 22, on the backend of four consecutive wins but suffered interference, doing well to finish fourth. Jordon Reign's is coming into this race well-prepared and very fit. He is in tow to deliver a top-notch performance. He is the X factor in the Mouttet Mile.

5. DUKE: (6 gr h by Casual Trick – Lady MacBeth) - His only hope is a minor share, and even that occurrence is a difficult one.

6. RUNAWAY ALGO (USA): (3 ch c by Algorithms – Misunify) – A consistent foreigner who finished second in the recent Gold Cup over 7 furlongs behind Mahogany. Runaway Algo, based on exercise reports, appears to be in excellent condition, and with one mile right up his street, a capital effort is expected. Do not omit Runaway Algo from the reckoning as he has the ability of running close to the pacesetters while packing enough strength to hold his gallop in the lane.

7. ATOMICA: (3 ch f by Nuclear Wayne – Honkeytonkville) – Wears the mantle of the top three-year-old. Atomica has raced nine times this year and has won seven times, with her two defeats coming in the Jamaica St Leger on July 2 and the Gold Cup on October 22. Atomica's victories include the Jamaica 1000 Guineas and Jamaica Derby Classic races, as well as the Grade One Jamaica Cup. Atomica was at her brilliant best in the November 12 Jamaica Cup run over 9 1/2 furlongs (1,900 m), putting rivals in their place with a 16-length whipping in a new Track and Stakes record time of 1:57.3. Going a mile tomorrow is even better for Atomica, especially with her pace and ability to finish strong. For sure, she will not disappoint.

8. MAKE UP ARTIST: (5 b m by Adore The Gold – Lipstick Lily) – Finished 7¼ lengths behind stablemate She's My Destiny in the recent St Elizabeth Distaff over this distance. Against these, Make Up Artist is completely out of her element. She will, however, play a role on the front end for at least the first three furlongs or so.

9. I'VE GOT MAGIC: (4 b c by Fast Anna – Lil Miss Richie) – Is going to be left behind.

10. EXCESSIVE FORCE (USA): (5 ch h by Broken Vow – Fevered Kiss) – Can be included in the X factor bracket. Excessive Force came from nowhere to win the Port Royal Sprint over 6 furlongs (1,200m) on November 12, after a lengthy absence from competitive racing. Excessive Force is of class, and if he gets over his habit of going wide on the turn then, he is in with a chance of winning.

11. CALCULUS: (4 b c by Sensational Slam – Trinket Box) – The current champion stayer. There is no doubt that Calculus prefers to run longer but is sufficiently endowed to perform well in this mile event. Calculus has been coming along nicely at exercise and with Shane Ellis, in the saddle, he is going to have a telling impact on the outcome of the Mouttet Mile. Calculus is a consistent performer who will be charging in the last two furlongs.

12. I AM FRED (USA): (4 b g by Golden Lad – Happy Hailey) – Is one of the mystery horses in the Mouttet Mile. I Am Fred was victorious at the Open Allowance level when beating Mahogany on September 10 over 6 furlongs (1,200m). Now at a mile, the extra two furlongs are going to suit him to the bone. I Am Fred is in great shape and cannot be denied a strong look-in.

13. RACE CAR (USA): (5 g/rn h by Race Day – MC Duffie) – Hasn't been himself this season after returning from an 18-month break in February. Race Car cannot get a winning vote.

14. KING ARTHUR: (5 b g by Natural Selection – Geisha's Art) – Former Jamaica Derby winner who seems to be off the boil. King Arthur should be hard-pressed to land a blow, but if it rains bring him into consideration.

15. EAGLE ONE (USA): (5 b g by Astrology – Frisky Cheerleader) – Cannot win this one.

16. BLUE VINYL: (3 ch c by Bern Identity–Blufield) – One of the season's top three-year-olds. Blue Vinyl has won two Classic races, the Jamaica 2000 Guineas and the Jamaica St Leger. Those two Classic wins have underlined his ability as a horse of class, and with a mile just perfect Blue Vinyl is poised for a grand effort.

Blue Vinyl .
I Am Fred.
BY RUDDY ALLEN Observer staff reporter

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